Iowa MBB @ Indiana Preview/Prediction

January 24, 2010

Written by

Hawkeye Nation

Justin VanLaere’s preview/prediction for the Iowa-Indiana game in Bloomington.

Game Info

Iowa (7-12, 1-5) at Indiana (9-9, 3-3)
POMEROY RATINGS:  Indiana – 112, Iowa – 169
RPI: Indiana – 192, Iowa – 178
Jan. 24, 2010 • 5:05 p.m. (CST)
Bloomington, IN • Assembly Hall (17,357)
TV: BTN (HD) • Live Stats: hawkeyesports.com • Satellite Radio: XM 196
Series Record: IND leads 94-69 (Last Meeting, IND, 68-60, Feb. 4, 2009)

Probable Starting Lineups

Indiana
Pos. No. Name Ht. Wt. Yr. Statistical Summary
G 5 Jeremiah Rivers 6-5 214 Jr.-RS 6.7 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 4.3 apg, .393 FG%, .507 FT%
G 1 Jordan Hulls 6-0 172 Fr. 5.4 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.9 apg, .382 FG%, .773 FT%
G 12 Verdell Jones III 6-5 183 So. 13.4 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.2 apg, .401 FG%, .670 FT%
F 2 Christian Watford 6-9 220 Fr. 12.9 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 0.7 apg, .432 FG%, .793 FT%
C 25 Tom Pritchard 6-9 248 So. 4.8 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 0.6 bpg, .621 FG%, .452 FT%

Iowa
Pos. No. Name Ht. Wt. Yr. Statistical Summary
G 3 Cully Payne 6-1 190 Fr. 8.4 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 3.7 apg, .380 FG%, .649 FT%
G 5 Matt Gatens 6-5 215 So. 13.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 3.5 apg, .384 FG%, .862 FT%
G 25 Eric May 6-5 225 Fr. 8.9 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.8 apg, .400 FG%, .673 FT%
F 24 Aaron Fuller 6-6 230 So. 7.6 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 0.7 apg, .495 FG%, .674 FT%
C 50 Jarryd Cole 6-7 250 Jr. 8.4 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 0.5 apg, .607 FG%, .622 FT%

VanLaere Notes

No VLOG for this game.
Live Chat for this game may or may not happen due to the NFL playoff games.  Here’s the GAME THREAD.

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Two of the youngest teams in America will square off tonight with both teams coming into the game playing some of their better basketball this season.  Iowa was coming off back-to-back wins (only the second time this year) before putting up a valiant effort up in East Lansing, losing to the Spartans by 7.  Indiana is riding a modest two game win streak, as they beat Minnesota at home and took out Penn State on the road.  The Hoosiers have yet to win three straight this season.  Indiana is 5-5 in its last 10 games, while Iowa is 4-6 in its last 10.

Indiana is team that doesn’t shoot the ball particularly well, but they get enough possessions in a game to make up for it.  As a team, however, they shoot it pretty well from downtown, they just don’t rely on that part of their offense.  The Hoosiers play solid defense and will force the Hawkeyes to take shots they don’t want to take.

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PLAYERS TO WATCH FOR:

Watford. Has a great chance to be the Big Ten Freshman of the Year.  Has scored in double digits in every game since Creek went down for the season.  Really good shooter for his height, doesn’t shoot the three ball as much as he could.  Has really improved his rebounding as the season has progressed.  Look for May or Fuller to draw his assignment (a tough, tough one).
Jones
.  The old guy on the court, more or less.  Not the most gifted shooter, but can create well, has tremendous handles and can get the ball up in traffic.  His production has also increased with Creek’s departure.

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KEYS TO THE GAME:

  • Home Court Advantage.  Iowa showed it can bounce back while facing adversity on the road last game, it will be key to prove it again.  While Indiana has had yet another lackluster season under Creen, the fans continue to pour into Assembly Hall.  It will be interesting to see if the Indianapolis Colts game has any bearing on attendance.
  • Hit up Fuller again.  Aaron almost had his third straight double last time out.  He is playing terrific basketball now that he is 100%.  The matchup of Fuller vs. Watford could be a good one.
  • Keep the Guards off the Glass.  Indiana’s guards rebound the ball very well.  Iowa’s backcourt needs to be aggressive on the boards to counter.
  • Momentum.  Sustaining momentum in this game will be the biggest key for success.  Both of these teams have a penchant for getting red hot, followed by long periods of poor shooting and decision-making.

PREDICTION: Iowa is playing better, but so is Indiana.  Even without Creek (arguably their best player), Indiana is improving as the season ages.  The Hoosiers have played well at home this season, as well.  I’d imagine the Hawkeyes are a 6 or 7 point underdog for this game.  Iowa has struggled to win Big Ten games on the road under Coach Lickliter.  All logic points to Indiana.  Who needs logic? Iowa 66,  Indiana 63

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