Sunday, February 5, 2012

Updated on Friday, April 9th, 2010 at 10:39 pm in Basketball.

The Mean Season

The Mean Season

The last several years, the Iowa basketball out of season has been pretty tough to take.  More specifically, the weeks immediately following the end of the season which has typically been from mid March through April.

In each of the last three seasons, Iowa has lost its best player; Tyler Smith, Tony Freeman and Jake Kelly.

You might be able to add Aaron Fuller to that list now, as he is leaving the Iowa basketball program.

The only reason I say ‘might’ is because some folks are quibbling over Fuller being the team’s best player.  For the season, Fuller averaged 9.7 points and 6.2 rebounds.  The scoring average was second best on a 10 win, 21 loss team, while his rebounding average was tops.

However, Fuller’s 12.3 points per game in Big Ten games only was tops on the Iowa team, with Gatens behind him at 11.8.  Fuller was 5th in the Big Ten with 7.8 rebounds per game in conference play & he was tops in the league in offensive rebounds at 3.4 per game.  Given that Iowa was 8th in the league in rebounding margin and given how much Fuller had improved from his freshman to sophomore season while taking into account he began this year with a sprained ankle, I’d say that the loss of Fuller is pretty big.

I still think the loss of Kelly is bigger, because Kelly had emerged as a dangerous player with the ball in his hands and given that he played point down the stretch, the position where the ball is in your hand more than any other, that was a tough one.

However, without Fuller, Iowa has one player that has proven he can hang in the paint and rebound and that is Jarryd Cole, who will be a senior next year.  But he can’t do it himself and even with Fuller in the paint with him, Iowa was still one of the four worst rebounding teams in the league last year.

That, and they were 10-21.

The optimist might say that with Fuller, Iowa still had one of the worst seasons in school history, so how much worse can it be without him?

Hey, I love optimists.  However, the optimist in me was hopeful that next year’s team could finish at or above .500 and make strides towards a possible NCAA tournament bid in two years, considering the event will likely be expanded by then.

Fuller’s departure may be compounded if Cody Larson doesn’t come to Iowa.  Larson was released from his letter of intent today, yet he said he has invited Iowa to re-recruit him.

The optimists will say that Iowa isn’t out of it yet.  The pessimist in me asks how many times have you seen a kid get out of his LOI only to re-sign with the same school?

That’s double departure trouble at a similar position on the same day for a team that needed all hands on deck next year to have an optimist’s shot at finishing .500.

I understand that some of you will read this and feel that it’s defeatist…that we haven’t seen Fran McCaffery’s style of play, so don’t make assumptions like this.  Some will say that Iowa has more scholarships now and can pick up a Juco or two or otherwise.  Some will say that Iowa is in the hunt for a forward that had committed to Siena…

I know this; if you are banking on picking up some late Juco help, as in more than one, your reality bites.  Then again, we knew that already.  It’s also a questionable strategy, as many of the best players from that level have been recruited by coaches the past year and relationships are established, and the chances of landing even one difference maker are small.

That might be selling McCaffery short, but he has just one assistant coach at this time.  Iowa may have three scholarships available to use this fall, which might be a better strategy, even if it means the 2010-2011 season will once again be rife with potholes, a short bench and even more change.

Iowa point guard Cully Payne was upbeat and cheery a few weeks back after meeting with Coach McCaffery.  He said, “One thing that really stuck with me is that he said it’s not going to be a long, grueling season.”

I hope that’s true…but it’s already shaping up as yet another long and grueling off season.

I don’t put any of this on McCaffery’s ledger.  Had Todd Lickliter been retained, Fuller was gone anyway and I wasn’t totally convinced Larson was super solid in his commitment, because of the whispers of other schools contacting him indirectly and letting him know they were interested if he wanted to look in their direction.  As for whom those schools are, just follow his recruitment the next few weeks and you’ll have your answers.

But this is the mess McCaffery has inherited.  The good news is that he has been here before, and he has rebuilt three programs.  He knew what he was getting into when he accepted the position and we all knew that there was not going to be any magic quick fix pill to make things better overnight.

Still, it doesn’t make the double dose of bad news any easier to swallow.  Tom Kakert of HawkeyeReport.com wrote on Friday that McCaffery had flown out to Arizona to meet with Fuller’s dad.  If that happened, it was a swing and a miss.  Again, I can’t put that one on McCaffery’s books, because Fuller had made up his mind to leave more than a month ago.  When young people get something in their mind like that, especially young people from half a country away from home who dealt with a coach that didn’t really have any sort of a relationship with his players, home looks a heck of a lot better.

And home area schools sure as heck liked what they saw of Fuller in Big Ten play.

Your friends back home see that and say ‘How come you are gonna stay out there?”  That gets in your head and the next thing you know you’re gone mentally; you’ve checked out.  Coming back from that level of mental commitment is a hard decision for adults, let alone college aged kids.  I don’t fault Fuller for wanting to hit the reset button on his basketball career, either.

No matter how you slice it and no matter how you evaluate it, Iowa lost one of its best proven players and likely one of its best incoming recruits that would have served as a backup to Fuller at times next year.

It wasn’t a good Friday.

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  • djwoody

    It’s darkest before the dawn. Go Hawks! This too shall pass…

  • http://Fuller Addisonwrigley

    Fuller leaving doesn’t suprise me. When a kid endures the seasons Iowa has had and you have talent, why rebuild, he probably can go to an establised program, sit out a year and finish on top out west. When you are 18, you want to experience life but then life hits you and it wasn’t what he expected it to be so he probably wanted to head home where his family can be part of his life again and he has a support system. Plus, we have had two fairly brutal winters out here which have to be tough to take when you are from Arizona. I have lived here all my life and I get tired of them. Finally, no one shows up to the games to support the team. He probably had visions like most of the kids that Lick would turn things around but it didn’t happen and now he has to endure two more rebuilding years. Can’t say that I blame him. While its tough to take as a fan, my hope is all the kids who want to leave do so right now so Fran knows where he is at and what he has to do to rebuild this program. He needs his own guys anyway.

  • Teddyhawk

    Please dont tell me Iowa fired Lickliter so this kid would stay put. Because seriously come on. This kid has been great for the team, he came in as an unhyped recruit and played great. But this makes me realize that ranking and analyzing recruiting classes is completely stupid. Go on recruit a good player, he doesnt like the weather, he isnt close to home, he gets your hopes up, then leaves. We need to go out and thoroughly recruit the talent in this state and surrounding areas (in football, basketball, whatever). Enough with these kids from Florida or other recruiting hot spots, or Arizona or wherever. Lets go out and get IOWA boys, or at least midwest kids.

  • sportstalent

    I couldn’t agree more with you TH. Iowa needs to get back to who they are in the recruiting grounds: Iowa, Illinois and Michigan, Midwest states. I can only think of a couple out of state players tranferring from Illinois and Michigan, pre-Alford era: Guy Rucker (Academics) and Paul Lusk (can’t remember). Maybe I am wrong on that and if someone can correct me, I would appreciate it.
    The loss of Larson and Fuller still leaves 10 scholarship players and I don’t think that is all bad, it more than we have had in the past.
    Potential starting five: Payne, Gatens, May, Cougill, Cole
    Bench: Brust, Marble, McCabe, Brommer, Archie
    I think you can move anyone from the starting five out and put anyone from the bench in and not be hurt.
    Coach Fran don’t fill the scholarships this year, there is no need, you have 10 players. Concentrate on your first class and go after some top flight athletes from the states Iowa has grown accustomed to seeing players from. Also, it won’t be all bad to have to redshirt anyone from the first class due to losing only Cole as a senior.
    Iowa fans no need to panic, I must say, it simply can’t get worse, losing only one player in Fuller is not all bad and if he really is homesick, nothing you can do about it.
    GO HAWKS!

  • iloveyoularrystation

    Here’s the problem with what you just said sportstalent “I think you can move anyone from the starting five out and put anyone from the bench in and not be hurt.” You just said that about a bench that has one guy, Brommer, who has seen a legit minute of college basketball. Cougill is a bust who doesn’t even remotely fit Frans system and yet he’s a starter on your hypothetical. I agree (with the exceptions of Culley, May, and Gatens who are irreplaceable on this squad) that the starters can be replaced by the bench with no drop off, and there in lies the problem. Here’s praying that recruit from Siena finds his way over along with a Juco Big man or two.

  • sportstalent

    I get scared when I see Brommer go on the floor, but I must admit as down and I have been on him and have said, I wouldn’t mind seeing him transfer, he showed me something this year. He is awkward and uncoordinated, but he has a little athleticism and aggressiveness, he reminds me of Jay Webb, call me nutty, but Webb was a solid player his last two seasons, he didn’t hurt you when he came into the game and played hard, Brommer tried to hard when he was in games this year, do you blame him, trying to get minutes on a team that can’t win, have to do something to try and get on the floor. On to Cougill, he will be fine, but he has one problem, he is grotesquely out of shape. The one thing Cougill himself said when he was still in high school was that he needed to get in better shape before he got to Iowa, he hasn’t, if he does and that is a BIG IF, he will be a very good contributor. Iowa doesn’t need their big guys to score, they need them to play defense and be solid contributors. I don’t want the scholarships to be filled this year, there is simply no need…it is too late to fill them with quality players, no offense to the Seina recruit, but there is a reason he was committed to that program. Save the scholarships and fill with players next season. As I stated before, it can’t get worse even with the latest defection in Brust. Most teams don’t go 10 or 11 deep and I don’t expect Iowa too until all the scholarships are filled. They still will only lose one senior so there is still going to be a solid core team to build around. No need to rush out and fill them for the sake of filling them.

  • hawksnation23

    I have seen Cougill play and he is the real deal. Lickliter’s system wasnt set for Cougill and that there was a problem. Everyone on here talks about homegrown recruits and that we need them to come to Iowa. But look why would they want to when this kid is a Freshman learning the college game. Give these kids a break Iowa hasnt had a decent coach since Tom Davis was in office. Alford couldnt coach himself out of a wet paper bag and Lickliter is only a mid major coach. Alford’s record was a result of talent but once it came to light on how he ran things the talent ran out and left a mess. Lickliter was left with that mess and wasnt able to rebuild because he had never did that before Butler was already a good team before Lickliter and even better without. Cougill and McCabe are Iowa boys that can and will do Iowa basketball good. Let them mature heck let them all mature and dont put expectations on them til October.

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