Updated on Wednesday, July 18th, 2012 at 9:56 pm in Football.

Iowa Football: Tight End Targets

Iowa Football: Tight End Targets

by HawkeyeGameFilm

For our second installment we’ll take a look at the target data and metrics for Iowa Tight Ends from 2005-2011 and try determine who had the best pass catching season.

Legend
CR: Total catches/Total Targets.
YPT: Total receiving yards/Total targets.
Target %: Total targets/Total Team Targets
YPC: Total receiving yards/Total Catches
TD%: Total targets/Total Touchdowns

As with the RBs we’ll initially omit any candidate with less than 10 targets in a given season.

This first set of statistics is the full list of Iowa TEs and is sorted by CR. While there are some great seasons towards the top, they’re very light on targets. To get a more clear picture of the higher target seasons numbers compare to each other we’ll filter the list for the TEs who saw more than 30 targets. This allows us see a less cluttered comparison and results in this list:

Coincidentally the list sorted by CR is also sorted by by YPT. Allen Reisner’s 2010 numbers tops this list with a CR of 76.4% and also has the top YPT at 8.4 yards. Scott Chandler’s 2005 and Brandon Myers 2008 are close behind at 8.3. Chandlers 2006 number of 17.80 target percentage tops the list there.

Another point of interest here is that similar to the RB numbers in 2007 the catch rate numbers were abnormally low for TEs. As with the RBs this can be attributed more to QB play than to any deficiency by the receivers.

There isn’t a clear cut winner among the TEs. There’s a strong case for Allen Reisner in 2010 with his 76.4% CR and 8.4 YPT while still accounting for 15.9% of the teams total targets. However, Scott Chandlers numbers from ‘05 and ‘06 are very strong in those categories as well. He also had more total targets in both years while still having 8.4YPT, 71.2%CR in ‘05 and 8.3 YPT 65% CR in ‘06. In both ‘05 and ‘06 he had 17+ % of the teams total targets as well. Chandler’s ‘06 also has a big lead over Reisner ‘10 in terms of TD %: 8.45 to 3.64. It’s a tough call, but I’ll go with Allen Reisner’s 2010 season as the most efficient for TEs. Chandler in 2006 would be a close second and Chandler ‘05 would be close 3rd..

Winner: 2010 Allen Reisner

In the final article of this series we’ll examine the target history of the Iowa WR group over the same time period, 2005-2011.

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  • Dhksc

         2011 was very poor for TEs, Vandys’ touch on the short passes needs work.

  • Hawkeye4ever

    Agree Dhksc but remember that he did not look to the TE much,,, CJ is a stud and will be a monster this year!

  • Larry Flint

    Part of the failing of this sort of analysis as it applies to the TE is that it doesn’t really account for the full impact that the TE had in the game for the O … even just in the capacity of a receiver.

    This is truly one of those cases where the stats tell far from the full story.  For instance, what percentage of the grabs resulted in 1st downs?  Converting on 3rd down is pretty central to any O … and Iowa’s TEs play a huge role in that capacity.  Going off of memory, it seems to me that Myers was especially impressive in how he managed to help us convert on many a 3rd down.

    Furthermore, what impact does the TE have on how opposing Ds even game plan against us?  Did any of our TEs regularly force bracket coverage?  Just because a guy isn’t getting catches … that doesn’t mean that he’s not opening things up for other pass-catchers.  To this end, opposing Ds recognized that only rarely could they successfully cover Moeaki with just one guy (at least when Moeaki was healthy).  To make mattes worse for opposing Ds, Moeaki also had the speed and athleticism to take the ball to the house if the ball got out to him.  As a result, I’d argue that Moeaki gave opposing DCs more sleepless nights than any of the other listed TEs combined.

  • Jeffbuck7

    This is my impression, looking back. Moeaki had the biggest impact on the game. Can’t prove, but I agree with LF on this. I definitely agree that a stat on 3rd down chances and receptions would be very interesting. I’m less sure about that. What I remember about Moeaki is how dangerous the defenses considered him. The defenses had to deploy – or believed they had to deploy – a lot of resources to try and contain him. When he was healthy.

  • Jeffbuck7

    Agreed again, but with the reservation that we had an OC that couldn’t navigate a three-course meal, let alone a Big 10 football game.

  • Hawkeye Gamefilm

    You’re right when you say this analysis doesn’t account for the full impact the player had on the game. It was by design narrowly focused on efficiency rather than effectiveness. It’s extremely hard to come up with a comprehensive measure of overall effectiveness with any accuracy. 

    I think you’re right about the 3rd down conversion rate being a very telling stat. Myers had very good 3rd down metrics: 12/14 of his 3rd down catches  went for 1st downs. 7/14 were gains of 15+ yards as well.

    Moeaki was bracketed with a LB jam + safety over the top very often in the film study I’ve done on him. He’s the most physically gifted TE Iowa had over this period, but the injuries kept his numbers down. If he had a full injury-less career he would likely have surpassed Dallas Clarks numbers.

  • Larry Flint

    Great remark about the difficulty in finding an adequate metric concerning the “impact” the player makes.  However, with access to REAL gamefilm, you’d be able to quanitify how many resources were deployed to account for the TE.  For instance, on roll outs, does the DE just try to tee off on the QB, or does he stay back to account for the release of the TE?  How often does the safty “cheat” in his positioning in order to help out the LB in coverage?  How often do they full-out execute bracket coverage against the TE?

    If the film is available, you CAN quantify how much attention the TE garners.  And, in such an instance, you could probably quantify the average resources the players takes up per (pass) play.

    Obviously, if that number starts leaning past 1.4 or 1.5, then that would be an indicator that you will often have a WR facing man coverage.  Any WR worth anything in such situations should be able to win his fair share of battles … and that increases the big-play threat.

    However, the problem with such a metric is that it is time-intensive to determine.  The other metrics have the nice properties that they’re easier to measure.

  • Larry Flint

    Joe Philbin would seem to disagree.  Considering that Philbin views O’Keefe as being one of his biggest influences … and considering what success Philbin has enjoyed … I’m inclined to him over Joe Hawkeye Fan.

  • Hawkeye Gamefilm

    I’ve gone through coaches copy of a fair number of Iowa games(Mostly ’08 & ’09 while scouting) & you could spend the time to quantify that kind of thing from those. Although then you’re still doing some guess work as to the actual scheme the D is using though. 

    If I had to guess which TEs drew the most double teams I’d  definitely go with Moeaki. Digging back through my evaluation I wrote on him: “Consistently draws extra attention and opponents schemed to limit his touches. Has the ability to get into the middle seam against C2″. Most opposing DCs talked about having to account for him on every play as well. 

  • HaydenFried

    This is what you call “overanalyzing”–especially if Reisner comes out on top! LOL! 

  • Jeffbuck7

    Well, I guess that puts me in MY place. That’s the last time I try and go against a certified genius like the immortal Philbin.

  • Larry Flint

     Good!  I’d hope that it would.  Philbin HAS credentials … far more than any fan … and he actually values O’Keefe.  It never ceases to amaze me how foolishly and quickly fans will turn to scapegoat others. 

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