Thursday, February 9, 2012

Updated on Saturday, August 28th, 2010 at 12:30 pm in Football.

On the Record: Iowa Football Predictions

On the Record: Iowa Football Predictions

Nothing beats bragging rights.

I mean, dudes make little wagers all of the time. But really, ‘winning’ and ‘being right’ are more important than taking a sawbuck off of a buddy, right?

Here is your chance to put your Iowa football prediction down, on the record, and it will last in our database for months and years to come. We can check back against these all season long, and when the smoke clears, I am guessing you will draw our attention to your ‘perfect prediction’ if it winds up that way. Now, you’ll have a record of how well you fared, for all of Hawkeye Nation to see.

JON MILLER’S FINAL 2010 IOWA FOOTBALL PREDICTION

I made some predictions back in late May and said I would do so again the week before Iowa’s season begins after we had a chance to analyze any injuries or personnel changes. So far so good on the injury front. I don’t get the feeling Brandon Wegher is coming back to the team any time soon. So here it goes, my ‘On the Record’ prediction:

IOWA 41 – Eastern Illinois 3
IOWA 30 – Iowa State 13
: I just don’t think ISU’s defense is going to be good at this point of the season. Their offense could bite, but Iowa’s defense is really, really good.
Iowa 24 – ARIZONA 17*** I think this is a very pivotal game to the season. If they win it and can be 3-0 at this point, then I think anything is possible. If they lose it, the Rose Bowl is still possible and not off the table. So I am not saying this is a make or break, but it’s going to be an enormous measuring stick for just what this team can do.
IOWA 31 – Ball State 3
IOWA 23 – Penn State 10

BYE
Iowa 27 – Michigan 21***The second pivotal hurdle. I changed my May prediction of a loss in this spot because of injuries Michigan has suffered and the fact that I don’t believe Dennard Robinson is going to go from raw playmaker to polished playmaker overnight. Before facing Iowa, they have three ‘losable’ games; UConn, @ND and home vs Michigan State. If they lose at Notre Dame, I could see them losing to MSU. If they beat UConn and ND and lose at home to MSU, that is going to create problems for them, too. Iowa gets a week to rest and reevaluate their own game films from the first five games. I think for this team this year, the bye comes at a good spot.
IOWA 24 – Wisconsin 21
IOWA 31 – Michigan State 17
Iowa 34 – Indiana 24
Iowa 38 – Northwestern 20

IOWA 27 – Ohio State 24: I also think that Iowa and Ohio State will enter their November 20th game with identical 10-0 records, with the Buckeyes ranked #1 in the nation and Iowa #2 in the nation. If that comes to pass, it will be the biggest game in the history of Kinnick Stadium and an atmosphere unlike any seen before it inside those hallowed walls.
Iowa 31 – Minnesota 6: You can buy tickets for this game on Monday morning..check out this link for details.

PREDICTED SCORING OFFENSE: 31.08
PREDICTED SCORING DEFENSE: 14.91

I had no intention of picking Iowa to win every game when I sat down to do this. I just think Iowa is close to putting everything together this year. I think they can win their first two games as the offensive line comes together and if they can get past the late night road game at Arizona, then it’s on. I felt all winter long that Iowa would be favored in every game on their schedule except for their home game against Ohio State. They might wind up favored in that one, too.

The odds say that I am going to be wrong about this; damn the odds. This season looks to be one that could be for the ages. If it’s not, and they are 9-3, it’s not like that is a horrible year and it’s not like it would mean the sky is falling…hardly. However, looking at the season game by game and crossing my fingers that the team stays relatively healthy throughout, with a backup quarterback that showed he has some grit and skill, one of the best defenses in the nation, one of the best punters in the nation, perhaps the best receiving corps of the Ferentz era, two very capable running backs to start with and a possible third in the live well…why not?

Iowa runs the table and will play 12-1 Oklahoma for the National Championship in Glendale, Arizona.

Make your predictions below.

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  • jchromes

    Sounds good to me! Why argue.

  • burky247

    My initial prediction was 9-3 with losses to Arizona, Michigan, and OSU. As Jon mentioned, Michigan has taken a hit with injuries so I’m putting that game in the win column now.

    10-2

  • IowaBanker

    Never thought I’d see the day that Jon Miller put on the complete homer, black & gold glasses. I’d love 12-0, but I still think 8-4 is more realistic than 12-0.

  • DK

    I don’t think the perdiction is off base I invision it being one that can go from 12-0 to 9-3. I worry about playing at the big house, ohio state, and wisconsin. They could all go either way. Let’s hope we get through them unscathed!

  • Bucketochicken

    “I had no intention of picking Iowa to win every game when I sat down to do this… Damn the odds.”

    Same here, exactly. When I’m asked how I think Iowa will do this year, I’m cautiously optimistic, but when I too sit down and actually look at each matchup and try to pick a winner… I invariably end up with the same results.
    Anyway, I love the “F-you, we’re Iowa!” ballsiness of these picks, and I’m excited to peruse the soon-to-be 16+ page thread on CF dribbling with their own unique brand of hilarious apoplectic rage in response to this.

  • taekwonthis

    I’m so sick and tired of some Hawks fans saying something like “i still think 8-4 is more realistic” I say to you hawk fan, have you seen this team. Because saying something like “8-4 is more realistic” sounds like you haven’t. This is a freakin great team. Focused and experienced on EVERY side of the ball. Closer to 8-4? Whatever. Why not put on the black and gold glasses. You are a Hawk fan anyway, right?

    I like Jon’s picks except I think Iowa will put up at least 35 pts. on ISU unless Kirk calls off the dogs.

  • jameskalina

    After the spring game I predicted 10-2. I’m staying with this prediction, although I have a better feeling about this team as we enter the 2010 season than I did after the spring game.

    It’s possible for Iowa to run the table. But stuff happens. I’m taking a cautious approach and sticking with 10-2. The two losses will probably come from a Penn State/Wisconsin/Ohio State/a lesser team combo.

    That said I’m hoping for everything to go well and the Hawks to finally realize a perfect season.

  • IowaBanker

    @taekwonthis: Answer these two questions.

    1. How many times has Iowa gone 12-0, or undefeated for that matter?
    2. How many times has Iowa gone 8-4?

    Yeah, that’s what I thought.

    Even the greatest teams of all time have found quite often found a way to lose a game or two. You have to not only be very, very good, but also very, very lucky, to win every game on your schedule. The ball has to bounce your way in every close game, and that’s just not likely to happen. Last year’s 11-2 team still lost twice, and they could have easily lost other games as well.

    As for experience everywhere, you might want to take another look at the roster and two-deeps. We lost 3 offensive linemen and have plenty of inexperience there. We have 2 linebackers who have seen very limited playing time. It’s not like we return 22 starters.

    Lastly, don’t you dare question my level of Hawk fandom. You don’t know me at all. If you did, you’d know better. I’m a Golden Hawk donor for many years and my Hawk-themed basement is a sight to behold. I’ve been to every Big 10 stadium and haven’t missed a home game since I began getting season tickets many years ago. So don’t make statements that you can’t back up.

    You have an opinion? Then enter the thread and put your own W and L for the season, with scores, for the rest of us to see…just like I did. I predicted 10-2 and a BCS bowl game if you care to look.

  • Iapunk

    As great as 12-0 sounds I still see a 10-2 season again. I think they are all winnable but I don’t want to jinx anything. I have vowed not to be disappointed with anything over 8 wins though. I will say we lose to Northwestern and Ohio State.

  • imported_jocohawk

    10-2 with a losses to AZ and Ohio St.

  • wgingerich

    I believe 12-0 is very possible, anything less then a Rose Bowl in my opinion would be a disappointment.

    My Predictions:

    Iowa 45 E.Illinois 7 Back-ups are playing the second half
    Iowa 38 ISU 10 ISU defense no match
    Iowa 27 Arizona 21
    Iowa 42 Ball State 6
    Iowa 24 Penn St. 7 New QB for PSU
    Bye
    Iowa 31 Michigan 10 RichRod’s Days are numbered he has embarrassed Michigan
    Iowa 21 Wisconsin 17 Two very similar teams
    Iowa 35 Michigan St.14
    Iowa 42 Indiana 21 No Defense for IU but they have a dangerous offense
    Iowa 31 Northwestern 24 they always play us good
    Iowa 24 OSU 14,Home field are crowd and Def. hardest place to play.
    Iowa 28 Minn.6 Tim Brewsters last game.

    BCS Title game:

    Iowa vs Oklahoma, I don’ like this because of the connections with the coach’s that is why they dont schedule each other.

  • colbol9

    10-2

    We lose @ AZ and NW.

  • DDHawkeye

    I already posted my predictions in the forum, but here it is for this page too.

    IOWA 45, Eastern Illinois 0 (Mossbrucker misses a field goal, Murray makes one field goal, Murray secures the kicking job for the rest of the season)

    IOWA 38, Iowa State 3 (ISU gets a late BS field goal)

    IOWA 31, Arizona 10 (once again, a late BS touchdown by Arizona)

    IOWA 42, Ball State 0

    IOWA 24, Penn State 7 (Penn State scores on a pick 6)

    IOWA 33, Michigan 21

    IOWA 27, Wisconsin 13 (Clay gets murdered by Clayborn early, Wisconsin’s offense is ineffective afterwards)

    IOWA 31, Michigan State 10 (McNutt catches 3 touchdowns & has over 200 yards receiving)

    IOWA 38, Indiana 6 (IT’S INDIANA!!!!)

    IOWA 35, Northwestern 9 (Stanzi has his revenge)

    IOWA 30, Ohio State 14 (We dismantle Ohio State. Pryor no longer has any Heisman hopes)

    IOWA 55, Minnesota 0 (This time without Shonn Greene)

    That’s right. Undefeated, dominant, and glorious!

    I’m also gonna go out on a limb and say we beat whoever we play in the National Championship by more than 2 touchdowns. And God I hope we play the Nebraska Cornholes in the National Championship game!!!!

  • IAGirl

    Okay, I’ll play…

    Iowa 48 E. Ill. 6
    Iowa 35 ISU 9
    Iowa 27 Arizona 21
    Iowa 38 Ball St. 3
    Iowa 24 Penn St. 17
    Iowa 21 Michigan 10
    Iowa 27 Wisconsin 24
    Iowa 31 Michigan St. 21
    Iowa 35 Indiana 21
    Iowa 28 Northwestern 21
    Iowa 24 OSU 27
    Iowa 42 Minnesota 17

    So I have Iowa losing to OSU only. Maybe it’s all these years of losing to the Buckeyes but I just can’t bring myself to put that one in the win column. It would be the greatest thing in the world to see the Hawkeyes beat them in Kinnick stadium, but I just can’t pull the trigger on an undefeated prediction.

  • BigD

    I pretty much agree with what Jon has stated with the exception of the Ohio State game. Yes, Iowa will win it but it will not be that close of a score.

  • NCHawker

    Iowa does beat OSU this year and it will be one for the ages.

    Iowa POUNDS Northwestern like a rented mule.

    Very tough wins against Wisconsin, Michigan State and yes Michigan.

  • Foolonthefield

    Iowa 35 E. Ill. 9…we do not run up the score
    Iowa 24 ISU 14….offense still getting its footing
    Iowa 31 Arizona 30…could go either way
    Iowa 42 Ball St. 6…not much of a contest
    Iowa 17 Penn St 14…defensive battle
    Iowa 35 Michigan 31…offensive battle
    Iowa 24 Wisconsin 28…could go either way but they get the better of us this time.
    Iowa 28 Michigan St. 24…not as thrilling as last year
    Iowa 40 Indiana 21…not as close as last year.
    Iowa 21 Northwestern 20…I actually had this as a loss at first
    Iowa 14 OSU 17…the monkey clings on our back for another year
    Iowa 38 Minnesota 20…we break in the new Kinnick north in fine fashion

    Final record: 10-2 (6-2 Big Ten) Final ranking around #11

    Cap One Bowl where we beat yet a different SEC Team. OSU & Wisconsin tie at 7-1 in Big Ten and both go BCS.

  • JoeHawki

    12-0.

  • Rick1988

    I would love to see the 12-0 season, but something tells me that somewhere along the way we will get tripped up. I am thinking it could be at Arizona, then running the Big Ten table going 11-1. I think going for some big wins when we get the chance would benefit us in the long run, even though it is the Iowa way not to make another team look bad and calling off the dogs. Style points could be a good thing this year.

    Iowa 49 E. Ill. 3 great first game to work out wrinkles
    Iowa 35 ISU 10 a beating to make mark, but not embarass
    Iowa 21 AZ 24 boys are sluggish, especially on D
    Iowa 42 Ball St. 3 bad taste from last week
    Iowa 30 Penn St. 14 sorry JoePa nothing for us this year
    Iowa 35 Michigan 21 bye bye Rich Rod
    Iowa 24 Wisconsin 17 not your year Bret, Clay gets beat up
    Iowa 33 MSU 14 no last second heroics needed this year
    Iowa 42 Indiana 17 they don’t even hang around this year
    Iowa 35 NW 14 revenge is best served up cold
    Iowa 20 OSU 17 this is a hawkeye state not buckeye
    Iowa 45 Minnesota 7 see ya Brewster, Kinnick north is rockin

  • 83Hawk

    9-3

  • http://www.BrighterCopywriter.com inheaventhereisnobeer

    12 – 0.

  • oldturkey

    The Hawks have never gone undefeated during my 70 years,but this is one of our best teams and it is possible! However injury problems or a turnover at the wrong time & bye-bye undefeated! My prediction is 11-1 or 10-2!! I hope I am wrong and that I will see at least one undefeated season!

  • CRhawkeye4life

    Iowa 37 E.Ill. 3
    Iowa 27 ISU 10
    Iowa 24 AZ 17
    Iowa 42 Ball St 0
    Iowa 27 Penn St 14
    Iowa 31 Michigan 17
    Iowa 24 Wisconsin 17
    Iowa 17 MSU 10
    Iowa 31 Iniana 7
    Iowa 30 NW 17
    Iowa 24 OSU 27
    Iowa 45 Minn. 6

    Ties with Wisconsin at 7-1 and goes on to a Rose bowl win

  • http://Divisions tisb06

    (f they beat Arizona and stay relatively healthy then 12-0, If they lose to Arizona then 11-1, I don’t think Michigan will be a problem this year. By the time Iowa plays them, Michigan may already be calling for Rich Rod’s head and they haven’t addressed their defensive issues and QB is still a big ?. As for OSU I think we beat them because we’re at home if we were playing in their house it’s be a toss up. So I see Rose Bowl for sure maybe even the National Championship game. But that depends if their aren’t 2 other unbeatens with a higher profile.

  • Trojanhawk83

    Hey Jon, I really admire your courage to put yourself out there to say Iowa will run the table—I sure hope you’re right! However, I’m a bit different than others I suppose because I would be very happy with a trip to the Rose Bowl and a big win there. I know the NC title game is the ultimate, but on my bucket list is a trip to Pasadena to see my beloved Hawkeyes win the grandaddy of all the bowl games. One game at a time, go Hawks! P.S. I like the Hawks to 11-1 in the regular season and end up with a 12-win season in the Rose Bowl game.(But I would take an undefeated season in an Iowa minute)!

  • HawksRUs02

    Jon, why do you call the Michigan/Michigan State game non-conference?

  • Sidecarcoach

    Iowa wins every game 50-0 and beats Alabama in the National Championship 25-0. Why not??!!! Live it up! Enjoy it! (Too many Hawkaholics taking on anxiety, worry, superstitions, and everything else about this season coming up. Why not expect things to go the other way, and thoroughly enjoy the ride.)

  • Thawki

    Jon,

    Not to nitpick, but why is the OSU-Iowa game, if both are undefeated, the biggest game in the history of Kinnick Stadium? What about the Michigan-Iowa game in 1985? No doubt you thought of that game before making that statement in print, and you chose to say it was the biggest, not that there wasn’t a game that was bigger.

    Am I reading too much into your comment, or do you see that game under those circumstances as a bigger game than the Michigan-Iowa game?

  • taekwonthis

    You’re right. We’ve never gone 12-0. But please tell me when the last time Iowa had a 2002 type defense (maybe better) with this much talent and experience at our skilled positions?

    That’s what I thought.

    When has Kirk had problems developing his offensive line. Must I add that JV and RR have had plenty of playing time last year. In addition they’ve been practicing against one of the best DL in the country. Our LB’s are going to be just fine. There is way to much talent around them and in fact I believe that the talent around them will hide their inexperience and in turn make them look like they’ve been starting for years.

    I’m not trying to question whether your a fan or not and I could care less if you’ve donated your whole life saving to the Hawks. I’m still sick and tired of fans saying stuff like 8-4 is more realistic than 12-0 just based on what the Hawks have accomplished in the past. Even before I’ve seen this season play out, I would still say that this is a special team. Sure, Iowa typically plays games close because of the way the coaches call the game but I don’t think that is going to be the case this year with the exception of a few games. I think we have too much talent on offense. Sure injuries could happen and greatly affect the outcome of the season. One key injury in the defensive secondary and we could have problems. But I’m not thinking about the “what could happen”, I’m thinking about “what I hope and think will happen”. My prediction:

    Iowa 34 E.Ill. 6
    Iowa 38 ISU 16
    Iowa 31 Arizona 9
    Iowa 42 Ball St 0
    Iowa 21 Penn St 9
    Iowa 38 Michigan 21
    Iowa 28 Wisconsin 24
    Iowa 17 MSU 14
    Iowa 31 Iniana 17
    Iowa 24 Northwestern 10
    Iowa 13 OSU 16
    Iowa 35 Minn. 13

    I still think Iowa loses a tough game to OSU but Iowa still goes 11-1 with a Rose Bowl while OSU goes to the NCG.

    Lastly, one thing that we know is that Kirk learns from mistakes and makes adjustments to his coaching based on what he’s learned. (Alla Orange Bowl in 2003 and then his approach for bowls after) We had huge expectations going into 2005 and fans are using caution because of fear of being disappointed like that season. Well, I think the Hawks have much better leadership on the team this year and that will be the difference from having a disappionting season like 2005 and a special one like this year’s going to be.

  • 93hawkeyeguy

    I would love it, of course, if Miller’s predictions come true. Here’s the party-pooper factoid, IMO: Iowa’s lowest-scoring game in the predictions is 23 points. The Hawks failed to score at least 23 points in 6 of their games last year. I don’t know whether to expect the offense will be much better than last year’s. Stanzi and the running backs should be a bit better, but the offensive line is a big question mark right now.
    May I be way off base in my concerns
    ;)

  • bcuhawkeye72

    12-0:

    I think the toughest games will be as follows:

    @ Arizona: the time-change may play a factor plus the Hawks have had trouble in their last two trips to the desert

    @ Northwestern: they have been a thorn in our side for a long time, especially since we spoiled their Rose Bowl hopes back in 2000.

    vs. Ohio State: this game has been chosen as the big game of the year for the Hawks. I think it will be a game for the ages and the Hawks will win in an Instant Classic.

  • Edgiscript

    You know Jon, it’s weird. Even though you’ve picked Iowa to run the table, I feel that you’ve held back in places. I do realize that as good as Iowa is, you should respect the opponent, but some games I think Iowa just lines up as the totally dominant team. Wisconsin’s a great team, but they’re almost completely one-dimensional in the area that the Iowa defense most dominates. We would have been Indiana by 40 last year if it hadn’t have been for 5 interceptions. Northwestern’s not awful, but let’s face it, the only reason you’re not picking a blowout for that one is because for some reason they’ve had Iowa’s number this decade. And Minnesota… no, you’re pretty much right on with Minnesota. Given that Iowa learns and improves as the year goes on, I think Arizona will be their toughest test until Ohio State. Boy am I glad we’ve got that game so late in the season.

  • goods10

    I don’t understand why most people feel Iowa is a great team but has us losing at Arizona! Please fill me in on the thought process behind it.

  • taekwonthis

    People are worried about that game mainly because of what happened the last time Iowa traveled to Arizona along with the record of eastern/midwest teams traveling west early in the season. For one thing, the game in 2004 was delayed due to lightning and the game didn’t get over until like midnight our time. The Hawks came out flat and got throttled 44-7. I don’t think that is going to happen this time. I think Kirk will make adjustments to the way he approached the game in 04′. I think the time zone will affect them but I think they will be more prepared for it this time around and beat Arizona 31-9. :)

  • glidinghawk

    I agree with the 12-0. :>)

    Then a loss in the championship game. :>(

  • benjaminshaw

    I would love 12-0 and a lot of people seem to agree, but not many have shut-outs predicted.
    How hard is it to shut down a team? In the ‘easy’ games I could see a blowout bring in 2nd string D and coaches start to worry about getting those guys game time, not to mention it’s not really Ferentz’s style to keep the pressure on.
    So do we have what it takes -ability, depth, stradegy- to shut someone out?
    What do you guys think?

    Iowa 45 – UEI 21, all late garbage points
    Iowa 31 – ISU 6
    Iowa 23 – Arizona 20, jet lag hurts us in the redzone, 3 fg’s
    Iowa 42 – Ball St 0
    Iowa 17 – Penn St.10
    Iowa 30 – Michigan 0, messy Michigan team
    Iowa 27 – Indiana 10
    Iowa 28 – Nthwstrn 0, Iowa D ranked #1 in nation.
    IOWA 36 – Ohio St 24, big safety off nice punt;)
    Iowa 30 – Minn. 17

  • benjaminshaw

    Oops, forgot to include the bad news.

    Iowa 13 – Wisc. 24, Stanzi has a bad day, damn it. Those guys are good.

  • jsmhawk

    Iowa will go 11-1 during regular season with lone loss coming at home to OSU. They will win their bowl game and finish at 12-1 and a final ranking of #4.

  • cmlong3

    EIU-10 IOWA-47 2nd team D gives up late worthless touchdown.
    ISU-17 IOWA-35 Hang tough but midway through 3rd quarter Sash returns pick for touchdown to put game away for good.
    IOWA-31 ARIZONA-21 Not really all that close. Iowa’s D dominates until a couple late picks by Stanzi
    BALL STATE-0 IOWA-42 Making up for poor play against AZ Stanzi throws for 270 and 3 touchdowns. D is Dominant….again.
    PSU-7 IOWA 31 Defense not looking the best but turnovers keep Penn State from scoring.
    IOWA-38 MICH-20 Late feild goal is meaningless from Michigan so DJK returns a late kickoff.
    WISC-16 IOWA-17 John Clay suffers injury in first half and Iowa rallies to 14 unanswered points to win.
    IOWA-31 INDIANA-14 Defense looks great against a good offense
    IOWA-42 NORTHWESTERN-10 Take them behind the woodshed and break THEIR foot!
    OSU-17 IOWA-24 Late feild goal by Iowa to go up by 7. Iowa survives late heroics from Terrelle Pryor and company.
    IOWA-42 MINN-14 Tim Bruester can stay in Kinnick North as long as he’d likes. But I don’t think it’ll be for long.

  • the Fitz

    Idiots….

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  • Cyclones17

    bwahahahaha Jon Miller does it again! Great picks Johnny

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