HawkeyeNation Forum - View Single Post - Commits start rolling in...
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Old 09-08-2010, 09:17 AM   #8 (permalink)
CAARHawk
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Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 6,403
Re: Commits start rolling in...

Can somebody please let me know one time in the last decade that such a method for building a basketball team was successful in MBB at the BCS conference level? Because I researched back six years and could not find an example of a new hire that didn't sign a ranked recruiting class within his first two years, (with the exception of Montgomery from Cal and Horn from So. Car. who both did it in year three) that has successfully rebuilt a program.

I said when FM was hired that we would have a good indication if the experiment was going to work within the first year as that would include the first two recruiting classes and a good sense of the third year class. In fact, I said we would have a good idea by next month when the early commits sign LOI's. If FM doesn't come up with some impressive hits, the odds will be overwhelmingly against him every doing it at Iowa.

Now, some things do weigh in his favor for him to be a year three guy. The big 2012 in-state class and the practice facility. However, if FM cannot parlay those into a really big class, it would go against all indicators for him to be able to turn things around from that point on. Those aren't odds anyone should want.

And please do not respond with knee-jerk emotional reactions to this content. I am only going by what I found in research when I was considering what it would take for Iowa to be successful turning the program around. If you have something that contradicts this, let me know. But I am not interested in just getting shouted down by people who have no evidence to back their claims.
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