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How High Can The Hawkeyes Go? (BCS)
Posted 10-21-2010 at 12:30 AM by bwsmoney
The Hawkeyes are #15 in the initial 2010 BCS standings. Is that good news or bad news? Both. The lowest any school that played for the title has been in the initial BCS standings was #12 (LSU). However, Iowa is only nine hundredths of a point out of #10, so it's worth taking a look at least.
Note: everything below is predicated on the Hawkeyes winning-out, finishing 11-1 (8-0)
Who's ahead of us?
Big Ten: Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin
Big XII: Oklahoma, Missouri, Oklahoma State
SEC: Auburn, Louisiana State, Alabama
Pac-10: Oregon, Stanford
MWC: Texas Christian, Utah
WAC: Boise State
However, I don't think Boise/Utah/TCU, even at 12-0 can hold off an 11-1 (8-0) Big Ten Champ. Two more spots for us ... #5
Who's left?
# School Avg
1 Oklahoma .9215
2 Oregon .8921
3 Boise State .8898
4 Auburn .8641
5 TCU .8573
6 LSU .8245
7 Michigan State .7628
8 Alabama .6654
9 Utah .6540
10 Ohio State .5726
11 Missouri .5491
12 Stanford .5374
13 Wisconsin .5335
14 Oklahoma State .5261
15 Iowa .4824
16 Nebraska .4295
17 Florida State .4267
18 Arizona .3807
19 Texas .2214
20 West Virginia .1812
21 South Carolina .1555
22 Kansas State .1422
23 Arkansas .1302
24 Mississippi State .1253
25 Virginia Tech .0658
Note: everything below is predicated on the Hawkeyes winning-out, finishing 11-1 (8-0)
Who's ahead of us?
Big Ten: Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin
Big XII: Oklahoma, Missouri, Oklahoma State
SEC: Auburn, Louisiana State, Alabama
Pac-10: Oregon, Stanford
MWC: Texas Christian, Utah
WAC: Boise State
- The Hawkeyes play Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Ohio State. So, we will pass them if we beat them. That's three spots ... #12
- Oklahoma plays @ Missouri and @ Oklahoma State; Missouri plays Oklahoma and @ Nebraska; Oklahoma State plays Nebraska, @ Texas, and Oklahoma. So at most, just one 13-0 team. That's at least two spots ... #10
- Auburn plays LSU and @ Alabama; LSU plays @ Auburn, Alabama, and @ Arkansas; Alabama plays @ LSU and Auburn. One of these teams will stay in front of the Hawkeyes. Two more spots ... #8
- Oregon & Stanford have already played and could both theoretically win-out. Arizona is ranked below the Hawkeyes, but if they are 11-1, there will be strong sentiment for them to jump over us. Oregon plays @ USC and Arizona; Stanford plays Arizona; Arizona plays @ Stanford, USC, and @ Oregon. So, at most two teams stay in front of Iowa. #8
- Utah hosts TCU on 11/6. The winner will likely go 12-0. (Utah also plays @ Notre Dame on national TV on 11/13) At least one more spot for us ... #7
- Boise State's best chance to lose is @Nevada on 11/26, but they likely go 12-0 #7
However, I don't think Boise/Utah/TCU, even at 12-0 can hold off an 11-1 (8-0) Big Ten Champ. Two more spots for us ... #5
Who's left?
- 13-0 Big XII champ (maybe 12-1 Oklahoma or Nebraska)
- SEC champ (13-0 or 12-1)
- 12-0 Oregon
- 11-1 Stanford or Arizona
# School Avg
1 Oklahoma .9215
2 Oregon .8921
3 Boise State .8898
4 Auburn .8641
5 TCU .8573
6 LSU .8245
7 Michigan State .7628
8 Alabama .6654
9 Utah .6540
10 Ohio State .5726
11 Missouri .5491
12 Stanford .5374
13 Wisconsin .5335
14 Oklahoma State .5261
15 Iowa .4824
16 Nebraska .4295
17 Florida State .4267
18 Arizona .3807
19 Texas .2214
20 West Virginia .1812
21 South Carolina .1555
22 Kansas State .1422
23 Arkansas .1302
24 Mississippi State .1253
25 Virginia Tech .0658
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