The Athletic - predictions

Discussion in 'Football' started by revkev73, Aug 14, 2019.

  1. revkev73

    revkev73 Well-Known Member

    Article in Athletic a few hours ago, from three writers has Iowa at:

    8-4, 8-4, 7-5

    Quite Kirkish, hoping for better.
  2. BrianFerentzForPresident

    BrianFerentzForPresident Well-Known Member

    To add, finishing fifth, second, and third in the West. Additionally, all three are (presumably) predicting a lost to Iowa State, with one nonconference loss. The two pegging Iowa at 8-4 have Wisconsin winning the West, while 7-5 has Nebraska. Honestly, I think these guys are clueless, given that they all have Penn State finishing 10-2, which is incredibly bullish. One writer has Ohio State and Penn State tied, with PSU winning the East. Two have Michigan at 9-3.
    Last edited: Aug 14, 2019
  3. Ben Rumson

    Ben Rumson Well-Known Member

    Well at least they keep Iowa par with our normal win/loss record.
  4. Fryowa

    Fryowa Well-Known Member

    To be fair though, the Hawkeye's performance has been historically been the inverse of fans' expectations. I don't think anyone would deny that every time fans get hyped up about such and such DL/LB/RB returning X amount of starters, or "I think this is the best yadda yadda yadda unit we've had in years," the season fizzles. And when no one expects anything like in 2015, you get gems.

    Funnily enough, 8-4, 8-4, 7-5 could not be more representative of Kirk's average WP over his career. The writers are literally going with his average performance over a sample size that not even 1% of coaches ever hit, and how could anyone argue that?

    And lastly------Vegas.

    Which has us at 7.5 and is the least homerish source with the most to gain or lose from being right.
  5. revkev73

    revkev73 Well-Known Member

    Is this the year Kirk and staff out-coach the other staffs to make a historical run? Iowa needs top shelf coaching in game and top shelf preparation and coaching leadership to move the needle above a Kirkish contract bonus season of 7-5, 8-4. I think I would bet Iowa on the over at 7.5. I plan to be in Vegas Friday, we will see if I can pull the trigger. Reading these forums really makes me think it would be easy money :)
  6. NCHawker

    NCHawker Well-Known Member

    really going out on a limb there.
  7. MelroseHawkins

    MelroseHawkins Well-Known Member

    Difficult road schedule this year so careful. They play like 6 or 7 teams that are ranked to start the season and the majority of these on the road.

    Iowa could be a 10-2 team with a little bit easier of a schedule or can be an 8-4 team with their hard schedule. Point is Iowa will be a good team but the schedule can be the difference this year.
  8. MelroseHawkins

    MelroseHawkins Well-Known Member

    Yea, one can literally say that every year for Iowa or most teams.
  9. revkev73

    revkev73 Well-Known Member

    Over on 7.5 seems like a lock :)
  10. MelroseHawkins

    MelroseHawkins Well-Known Member

    Yea, one would think, but, I'm not sure I could pull that trigger, though. I'd like to think they are going to be better than that as 7 wins would be depressing as hell, but, Casinos aren't standing because they're giving away a lot of $$$$$$$$$.
  11. revkev73

    revkev73 Well-Known Member

    Last time I put a Vegas bet on Iowa FB was vs Stanford, and I was tingly when I placed it, got something like 10-12 points? These points disappeared in like 55 seconds, IIRC. Mc Caffery was a race horse running through Iowa's players who appeared to be playing in mud. Kirk turned pale quickly, and was scribbling like crazy on his leg.
    Chickenlounge likes this.
  12. Northside Hawk

    Northside Hawk Well-Known Member

    Kirk was using his notepad on his leg to cover up what was dribbling down his leg.

    We were no match for Christian McCaffery that day. Stanford knew it and exploited it early and often.
  13. Northside Hawk

    Northside Hawk Well-Known Member

    In some ways Kirk is the Tom Petty of college coaches. Always consistent, always reliable for good results, but always one step away from greatness. Petty made the rock and Roll Hall of Fame, mostly because being consistently good for three decades will eventually be rewarded.

    Tom stumbled upon the Stones/Byrds formula early in his career, added his own adaptation to it, and seldom deviated from it the rest his career. Jeff Lynne tried to goose his career in a roots rock direction in mid career with satisfying results, but Petty was soon back to songs like "You Don't Know How It Feels" and "Walls". It was more comfortable to settle for status quo than it was to reach for greatness. Petty, on record and onstage throughout his long career, was just good enough.

    Sounds like a familiar football coach. Now watch Kirk catch his ass on fire this year and lead us to a CFP appearance.
  14. revkev73

    revkev73 Well-Known Member

    Tom Petty yes, Richard Petty, no.

    More like a poor man's Roy Orbison, not Elvis, Buddy Holly...but predictable, dark glasses, good music that lasted, and which I still enjoy in doses.

    One could do worse that Kirk, but he just always seems to stumble on one of those high hurdles on the way to being above what he normally is.
  15. Northside Hawk

    Northside Hawk Well-Known Member

    I know this isn't the music thread, but Roy Orbison is sadly underrated and couldn't have been taken from us at a worse time. He died at 52 just as he was poised for a comeback.

    Baby boomers worshipped Roy however. He was a major influence on Bruce Springsteen, Billy Joel and the aforementioned Tom Petty and Jeff Lynne of ELO among countless others.
    MoseSchrute likes this.
  16. EstronHawkKing

    EstronHawkKing Well-Known Member

    But I thought we were going to be the Patriots of college football? Cue MelroseHawkins freaking out in 3,2,1:cool:
  17. revkev73

    revkev73 Well-Known Member

    Yes, underrated.

    Lots of tragedy, wife dies with him while they are each riding motorcycles. Performing in England trying to get his life and career back on track, deal with grief from death of wife, and then two of his young boys die in a house fire while he is out working and away from home.
  18. HuckFinn

    HuckFinn Well-Known Member

    I stood within a few feet of Roy O at the Roof Garden on Okoboji many years ago. He was amazing. Elvis was once quoted as saying he wished he had a voice like Roy.
  19. 4thngoal

    4thngoal Well-Known Member

    To be the best you have to be able to beat the best.
    I don't think anyone says "oh OSU has a hard schedule" or Michigan.
    They are expected to win no matter who they put in front of them.
    That's what we need to be.
    Idc who it is, we have beat the top teams recently. Yes we lost some we shouldn't have. It's about time to put it all together I would think.
  20. MelroseHawkins

    MelroseHawkins Well-Known Member

    Well, I agree, but the discussion above was about betting the line and betting sensibly. Has nothing to do with what kinds of expectations one should have for a team.

    Signed cliche.